Wednesday, October 28, 2009

The social Laffer curve

Philip Collins in today's Times writes, in defence of the notion that the Tories cannot cut the size of the state and tackle poverty simultaneously, of what he sees as the impossibility of moving government out and charity in:
You can't simply move big government out and big voluntary sector in. A third of total voluntary sector funding now comes from the public purse and cuts are unavoidable. Unwinding the stealthy nationalisation of the third sector will cause howls of pain from people the Tories have embraced as their new best friends. Not that the embrace will last long anyway. Many schemes get worse as they get bigger. The great people in the voluntary sector cannot be cloned and the unreliable ones can be a proper nuisance. (src, my emphasis)
The odd thing about this argument is that Collins is using it in favour of the bigger state. But as an argument, it works equally well against the big state as against big charity, because it is a critique of bigness, rather than of any specific sector. The government's operations are not handed over to some mythic race of beings from another world, with greater intellects and purer motives: just like the third sector, it is run by people. It gets worse as it gets bigger, too. That's why we should be rightly suspicious of practically anything which can justifiably be described as 'big': big government, big charity, big labour, big capital.

I had a brief exchange yesterday with John H (blog) about an Independent poll which showed yesterday that Cameron's 'big state' rhetoric may have some traction with the British public (src). (I had previously expressed my agreement with his apparent view that in the UK, he was 'not convinced that the British public thinks in the same terms,' that is, in terms of 'big' and 'small government'.) My suggestion was that the better way to talk about the size of government is in terms of diminishing returns — if not in that language, then certainly appealing to that concept.

As government gets bigger, it gets worse: less efficient at everything it does. It also has to start intruding more, to give politicians the feeling that the locomotive of state is still under their control. The great irony is that by reversing the process and handing power back to individuals, families and communities, politicians will be more effective in those areas where they do have a proper influence.

The logical conclusion is that there is an optimal size of the state, where it is doing what is necessary and doing it well, and beyond which the state's effectiveness degrades. Shrinking the state is not a matter of being a hard-hearted hammer of the poor; it is rather the case that if we want the government to be more effective at helping the poor, then it needs to learn the lesson we all have to learn sooner or later: there are times when we must do less in order to accomplish more.

7 comments:

Fearsome Comrade said...

The faulty premise is that charity and government social programs tackle the problem of poverty; they do not. They merely protect the poor from utter ruin and starvation. The problem of poverty is solved by entrepreneurs and new business. The problem is that industry and business are retarded by government spending, which drains capital out of the private sector. Thus cutting the state and tackling poverty are not two separate goals to be played off against each other; they are different phrases referring to the same thing.

Phil Walker said...

Yes, long-term the sine qua non of poverty reduction is private enterprise. But in the UK at least not all government programmes are designed directly to relieve poverty: some are designed to help people find work and so on. Some of those functions could actually be done by private firms — we have recruitment companies for a reason! — but some may be better done by charities.

It was those cases on which I was focussing, where government is displacing charity from helping the poor to help themselves out of poverty; and I'm simply arguing that when government does too much, it achieves too little. Better for the state to restrict itself to its core competencies, and let society more widely pick up the rest.

Fearsome Comrade said...

Oh, I see. But still, without the government soaking up wealth on these programs, there would still be more enterprise; hence more work available. In other words, it's much easier to find a job when there are more jobs.

Phil Walker said...

Absolutely: economic growth is the best poverty reduction strategy, and free markets are the best engine for economic growth, which are known to man. You won't get anything else out of me, that's for sure!

Young Mr. Brown said...

Good post, Mr. Walker.

I especially like the line: "we should be rightly suspicious of practically anything which can justifiably be described as 'big': big government, big charity, big labour, big capital."

Maybe I should add "big blogs." Have you ever noticed that when a blog attracts a lot of comments, most of them are pretty worthless?

By the way, good comments from Fearsome Comrade. However, I'm somewhat doubtful about "The problem of poverty is solved by entrepreneurs and new business".

I'd say "The problem of poverty is simply never solved."

Perhaps that's just my perpetual scepticism, or perhaps it's because I think that the Lord meant us to take him literally in John 12:8

Phil Walker said...

I'm glad you liked that line: I did too.

I think what FC and I are agreeing on is that we can tackle poverty. I share your scepticism about ever solving it, which is why I tend to use language of poverty reduction, but we should keep poverty elimination as our aim even if we are pessimistic concerning its coming about.

Noreen said...

I would like to see these videos reviewed.

The Laffer Curve, Part I: Understanding the Theory
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fIqyCpCPrvU&feature=related

The Laffer Curve, Part II: Reviewing the Evidence
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YsB_rnzBA08&feature=channel


The Laffer Curve, Part III: Dynamic Scoring
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mw7LtVwDCbs&feature=channel_page